34/100Is TTWO-Take-Two Interactive Software, a buy?
Sunday 28 June 2026
Why now: This is not a technical pick today: the live universe tape provided is effectively blank and does not show a valid pre-breakout setup. Fundamentally, attention is high because Grand Theft Auto VI has a confirmed launch date later in 2026, but that makes the stock more headline-sensitive than “set-and-forget” investable right now.
Upside: If Grand Theft Auto VI launches on time and demand is as strong as the market expects, the business could reset to a higher earnings and cash flow baseline over the next 12 to 24 months. In that good case, upside exists, but the market already prices in a lot of success, so the margin for error is thin.
Risks: The biggest risk is execution risk around a single blockbuster launch: any delay, quality issues, or weaker-than-hoped engagement could hit both results and investor confidence. A second risk is that the stock can look expensive in periods when profits are depressed by development and launch costs.
Scorecard
| Scorecard | 34/100 | |
|---|---|---|
| Company Detail | TTWO - Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. | |
| Price as at 26 June 2026 | $238.53 | |
| Market cap | $44.3B | |
| Quality and Fundamental Score (100) | ||
| Breakout / Early-Momentum /20 | 0/20 | |
| Rev/EPS Momentum /20 | 12/20 | |
| Business Quality /15 | 12/15 | |
| Balance Sheet /15 | 6/15 | |
| Valuation /10 | 2/10 | |
| Industry Relative Strength /10 | 0/10 | |
| Macro / Sector Tailwind /10 | 2/10 | |
| Growth (mechanical) | ||
| Cash runway | Cash generative | |
| Revenue YoY | +18.2% | |
| EPS YoY | +93.7% | |
| FCF YoY | +315.1% | |
| Gross margin | 57.2% | |
| Valuation & Trend | ||
| Trailing P/E | — | |
| Forward P/E | 23.9x | |
| RSI (14d) | 62 | |
| vs 50d SMA | +6.8% | |
| Support cushion | −2.0% | |
| Sentiment | ||
| Wall Street verdict | Aligned | |
| News tone | Positive | |
| Dividend | — | |
How are these colored?
| Metric | Strong metrics | Solid metrics | Selective | Caution | Unfavourable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall score | ≥ 80 | 70-79 | 60-69 | 50-59 | < 50 |
| Business quality /15 | ≥ 12 | 10-11 | 8-9 | 6-7 | < 6 |
| Balance sheet /15 | ≥ 12 | 10-11 | 8-9 | 6-7 | < 6 |
| Market cap | ≥ $20B | $5B-$20B | $2B-$5B | $1B-$2B | < $1B |
| Cash runway | ≥ 3 yr or cash generative | 1.5-3 yr | 0.75-1.5 yr | 0.25-0.75 yr | < 0.25 yr |
| Revenue YoY | ≥ 15% | 5-15% | 0-5% | -5-0% | < -5% |
| EPS YoY | ≥ 20% | 5-20% | 0-5% | -5-0% | < -5% |
| FCF YoY | ≥ 10% | 1-10% | 0-1% | -5-0% | < -5% |
| Gross margin | ≥ 60% | 40-60% | 25-40% | 10-25% | < 10% |
| Trailing P/E | < 15 | 15-25 | 25-35 | 35-40 | > 40 or neg |
| Forward P/E | < 15 | 15-25 | 25-35 | 35-40 | > 40 or neg |
| RSI (14d) | 50-70 | 45-50 or 70-75 | 40-45 or 75-78 | 30-40 or 78-80 | < 30 or > 80 |
| vs 50d SMA | +2% to +15% | 0-2% or 15-25% | -2-0% or 25-35% | -3--2% or 35-40% | < -3% or > 40% |
| Support cushion | 2-10% above | 0-2% | 10-15% | 15-20% | price below support |
| Wall Street verdict | Aligned | — | Mixed | — | Disagrees |
| News tone | Positive | — | Neutral / Mixed | — | Negative |
| Dividend | Yield ≥ 2% & growing | Growing | Flat payer ≥ 1% | Low / flat | Cutting |
Detailed Analysis — Sunday 28 June 2026
Strauss Zelnick has been Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
Lainie Goldstein is the Chief Financial Officer of Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
- Take-Two owns rare, global entertainment brands and has demonstrated the ability to monetize them over long periods.
- Fiscal 2026 showed strong operating demand in bookings, and management’s fiscal 2027 outlook implies another step up tied to a major release slate.
- The problem for a long-term buyer today is that the stock’s story is dominated by one huge event, while current profits remain volatile and the provided technical snapshot does not support a disciplined entry.
Show 3 headlines from the last 7d
Scores 34 out of 100 — a mixed overall grade. Business quality scored highest. Earnings trend was fair but not a standout driver. Balance sheet and valuation weighed on the total. The live technical snapshot provided for this universe is missing (price shows $0.00 and all indicators are n/a), and the setup fails the stated selection gates (no confirmed breakout, no 200-day uptrend flag). Separately, the stock’s current valuation is difficult to justify as a long-term entry today because near-term results still show a GAAP loss and the next 12 months depend heavily on a single marquee release executing on time and at expected scale.
Component scores are on the scorecard above.
- The live universe technical block provided for TTWO is not usable (price reads $0.00, RSI and moving-average comparisons are n/a, and trend flags are missing), which means there is no confirmed early-momentum setup to lean on.
- Under the stated rules, the setup is effectively a fail until the tape shows a real price, a rising 200-day trend, and either a confirmed breakout hold or a fresh reclaim that is still holding.
- For fiscal year 2026, Take-Two reported total net bookings of $6.72 billion, up 19% year over year, which indicates strong player spending and portfolio demand.
- However, the company still reported a GAAP net loss for fiscal 2026, highlighting that profitability remains uneven through the development cycle.
- Management’s initial outlook for fiscal 2027 calls for net bookings of about $8.0 to $8.2 billion, which is a meaningful step up but also reinforces how dependent the next year is on major releases executing as planned.
Cash runway: Cash generative (latest annual free cash flow is positive).
Upcoming (1–6 months)
- Grand Theft Auto VI launch marketing ramp and any official updates that affect the November 19, 2026 release plan.
Ongoing
- Whether fiscal 2027 results show improving profitability and more consistent cash generation, not just higher bookings.
Risks
- Concentration risk: a large portion of investor expectations and future results are tied to Grand Theft Auto VI, so a delay or quality misstep could materially damage the long-term narrative and valuation.
Breaks the thesis
- Invalidate any bullish technical stance until the universe tape shows a real price with a rising 200-day trend and a confirmed reclaim/hold; without those, there is no objective chart-based confirmation to support new ownership.